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| | |-+  How to do a valuation on a start up company?
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Author Topic: How to do a valuation on a start up company?  (Read 844 times)
allenxu
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« on: December 16, 2009, 03:57:45 AM »

Well. I have this start up company. The core asset of it is the innovation that I have worked on over 2 years and just complete its "beta" lot building. When I worked on my business plan to find angel investors to fund me on setting up an operation, I got this problem: how much my business worth? As the company has no customer, no income in last 2 years!
 
For Post-money vaulation: the company forecast to achieve US$1798K EBIT in the 3rd financial year after US$500K investment, using P/E=10. FV is US$17980K in the 3rd year. So, DPV=FV(1+i)^3=15531K. Here: i is interest rate and set i = 5%. Looks a bit overvalued.

For Pre-money vaulation: the company forecast to achieve US$77K in the 4th year. If using above formula to calculate, the company is at vaule of a peanut.

Any body know how to company like mine?
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inle
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« Reply #1 on: December 17, 2009, 05:53:06 PM »

I am unsure of how to use any formula to value a start up....
it seem you are using the Financial Analysis method of Present Value and Future Value method with time and interest to work on....

I use simple maths....

correct me if my methods make any sense....
for a start up business, I will check on the Assets, Liablities, Sales Forecast and Marketing Efforts to justify the value at any given time....

For simple illustrations, to value a company in 5 years,
I will look at the Net Assets, Sales Forecast and Marketing Plan and Startegies from Year One to Year Five, every year....
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allenxu
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« Reply #2 on: December 20, 2009, 04:49:04 AM »

Thank you.

I guess FV method not work here. Now I am trying "Terminal Value" method. Since I have to work out a 5 year projection. So, set a CAGR, then I can get a terminal value. But damn, pre-money valuation is tough as I only have around 20 grand on the book and still long way until I can make money!

Is that often that a start-up has big difference on valuatin before and after investment? And, do you know what CAGR value that a start-up usually achieved in the first 5 years?

Thanks

Allen Xu
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inle
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« Reply #3 on: December 21, 2009, 04:15:07 AM »

Welcome, Allen....
Thanks for the feedback....

There is no hard and fast rule in valuing a business(at least from what limited knowledge I got)....
I learnt myself from various sources from books to real life experiences....

If the FV method make sense to you and you can justify the interest or CAGR used and the PV with figures and forecasts in your computations in your business, then you are absolutely correct....

There might and might not have any difference in valuation of your start up before or after investment....
It will depends what and how you are going to use the money in the investments into your business....
It might increase or decrease and even have no impact of your valuation....

As for CAGR, I will not say what growth rate is normal for a typical start up in the first 5 years....
At the same time, you might want to look at these variables to determine your own CAGR: business nature, business model, industries, sales and marketing plans and forecasts, and your financial reports....

You should be looking at the range of 5-20% for a healthy start up....
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